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NWS Hydrologic Outlook (Johnson County)

Current Conditions

Temp: N/A
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Morganton , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, January 22, 2017 at 7:19AM

Sloppy Sunday

Cloudy skies and fog along with some light rain is the name of the game as we wake up on this sloppy Sunday morning. Expect periods of rain today. We get somewhat of a lull this afternoon before rain redevelops and turns heavy at times this evening into tonight. Thunder is still in the realm of possibility tonight. Showers linger into Monday before dry high pressure builds Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures will remain mild for January standards, until a strong cold front slashes prices reducing the price tag to more winter-like temperatures by Friday.


Hi: 57 Lo: 47

Cloudy with early fog; Periods of rain, especially this morning and tonight; Perhaps a thunderstorm tonight; NE wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 57 Lo: 39

Mostly cloudy with lingering showers; NW wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 57 Lo: 37

Mostly sunny; Pleasant

Hi: 64 Lo: 42

Ample sunshine with unusually mild temperatures

Hi: 51 Lo: 29

Scattered clouds; Clearing & colder Thursday night; Feeling a little more like January

Further Out

Friday - Mostly sunny; Colder; High in the mid 40s; Low in the lower 20s
Saturday - Partly cloudy & continued chilly; High in the mid 40s; Low in the mid 20s

Forecast Discussion

A convoluted weather pattern has meteorologists scratching their heads across the Southeastern US this morning. Complex low pressure shifts east out of the Mid South today and shifts towards the Southern Appalachians tonight. Although some guidance now has a more southerly trajectory of the low, over the Midlands of SC. The southern track would keep us locked underneath an in-situ wedge, much like yesterday, with cooler temperatures, less mixing, more fog, and limited thunder potential.

Later today, as the low moves closer, we will be watching an area of enhanced instability within the warm sector of the low that will be moving across South Carolina. It could still clip our southwest mountains and foothills, promoting convective thunderstorm activity this evening and early tonight.

Rain tapers to showers Monday, lingering for much of the day, especially along NW facing slopes with flow turning northwesterly. The NW wind will be gusty at times late Monday and Monday night across the mountains.

High pressure builds Tuesday, offering more sunshine and dry conditions.

Wednesday, southwesterly flow will promote warm temperatures and pleasant weather conditions.

But a strong cold front will blow through early Thursday, putting a cap on temperatures. More wintry-like weather conditions return Thursday night into next weekend. Expect colder temperatures and a period of northwest flow snow showers and flurries across the northwestern slopes of the mountains.


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